Local electricity price effects of Bitcoin mining in renewable-rich energy systems

Gill M, Stinner J, Tyrell M (2026)


Publication Type: Journal article

Publication year: 2026

Journal

Book Volume: 29

Article Number: 117584

Journal Issue: 10

DOI: 10.1016/j.isci.2026.117584

Abstract

Load-shifting is increasingly important in renewable-rich energy systems. Bitcoin mining is often cited as a large, theoretically flexible load. Despite electricity consumption rivaling medium-sized industrial economies, the energy market behavior and impacts of Bitcoin miners remain largely unexplored. We exploit the large-scale relocation of Bitcoin mining to Texas, which became the world's largest mining hub following China's 2021 ban, to estimate its effects on local wholesale electricity prices. Combining a hand-collected dataset on mining facility locations with high-frequency wholesale price data, we identify price impacts using a DiD design. We find that miners select into renewable-rich, high-GDP per capita counties with initially lower electricity prices on average. Entry has no robust effect on daytime prices but raises nighttime prices by 19.9%. Price separation widens most in already-stressed hours. Miners may curtail under extreme scarcity, but do not shift load across ordinary price cycles to complement renewable generation.

Involved external institutions

How to cite

APA:

Gill, M., Stinner, J., & Tyrell, M. (2026). Local electricity price effects of Bitcoin mining in renewable-rich energy systems. iScience, 29(10). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2026.117584

MLA:

Gill, Maximilian, Jona Stinner, and Marcel Tyrell. "Local electricity price effects of Bitcoin mining in renewable-rich energy systems." iScience 29.10 (2026).

BibTeX: Download